Sunk Costs and Moving On

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One concept you learn in business school is that of sunk costs. In case you have not been introduced to the term of a sunk cost, it is essentially an unrecoverable cost. An example of a sunk cost is the purchase of a machine that makes type A widgets, only to have the world switch to type B widgets one year later before your machine is fully depreciated. Do you keep producing type A widgets until your equipment is fully depreciated? Or, do you sell it off to the highest bidder and buy type B widget equipment?

All the money you spent on the type A widget maker is irrelevant, and a sunk cost. You should not focus on how much you’ve already spent; you need to focus on how much you stand to lose by not going to type B and how much you stand to gain by making the change.

Often, we are so preoccupied by how much time, effort, and money we put into something that we lose sight of its irrelevance. This has business, political, and even personal ramifications. Our unwillingness to write something off as a sunk cost keeps us mired in a system that does not work.

Think of how American companies were slow to innovate in manufacturing processes while Asian companies invested in state of the art equipment and business practices. Think of how politicians will not accept the failure of government programs and simply tack on more legislation to try to fix a fundamentally flawed system. Think of how many American workers put their livelihood on the hands of the local plant that may or may not be there a few years down the road.

Progress does not care how long you’ve done something, how much you spent, or how much you care about it. The economy moves on whether you want it to or not. You have to be willing to cut your losses, aka sunk costs, and move on to other things. Otherwise, you’ll have to sink with your ship.

We often see that business is slow to react to market forces. Politicians will keep a dead a dead horse standing on principle. And, we occasionally get bent on making something work that has no hope. All of this is not to say that we ought not look to the past for guidance. The point is that we should be willing to let go of those bad decisions that cannot be remedied or undone. We should occasionally look to move on towards solving our new problems rather than patching our failed solutions. Sometimes, we have to be willing to start fresh.

HP Pavilion 514c Has Bootup Issues

I recently got a job to recover a computer. By the way, they asked me to upgrade the video card so that it will handle 3D graphics rather well. I don’t have to install the best video card out there, just a pretty decent one. The problem with that is that the computer comes with a 200W power supply. So, I found a suitable 400W replacement and installed it today. I thought maybe the computer had boot up issues because of the power supply not providing enough juice to power up all the devices. It turns out not to be the case. I stripped computer down to bare essentials and it still hangs on boot up. I’ve tried a different drive with the same problem, so it’s not a software issue. I don’t have the diagnostic tools or another computer to check if the CPU or the motherboard is having problems. I did clean out the computer, it was filthy. Maybe it overheated at some point and is suffering the consequences. The owner told me that he would have to restart it several times before it would boot up completely.

The big issue here is that if I get a barebones system, I can no longer use the recovery CD. I’d have to get another copy of Windows. So, we are looking at an expense of several hundred dollars to replace a system that probably cost as much. As far as gaming and configuration, a custom box is ideal, but pricier. I need to talk to the owner tomorrow and discuss options.

UPDATE:
I have since researched the problem further. I went to HP.com to find out the specs on the computer. It turns out that the motherboard is a FIC AM37. I Googled for similar issues during POST. It turns out to be a known issue. The good news is that there are replacement FIC AM37 boards available on eBay. I called the owner, and he seems more partial to getting a new computer. I suggested replacing the mobo as the least expensive option, followed by ordering a barebones system and transplanting parts, and the most expensive option being a new PC. He’ll talk to his dad and call me back.